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TerDU vs Gazalkent Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Aliev R.
40' Event
Fazilov J.
Own Goal
49' Event
Kholmamatov A.

AI Match Summary

Gazalkent in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gazalkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
TerDU
20%
Draws
80%
Gazalkent
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gazalkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Gazalkent have won more games recently than TerDU.
  • Win probability leans Gazalkent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
TerDU Clean Sheet 10%
Gazalkent Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TerDU Gazalkent
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.62 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Pro Liga
TerDU vs Gazalkent
1:4
May 6, 2026 Pro Liga
Gazalkent vs TerDU
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TerDU Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Gazalkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kholmamatov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TerDU 10 / 100
Gazalkent 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TerDU Gazalkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gazalkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Gazalkent has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

TerDU found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (21 games).

Gazalkent lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TerDU VS Gazalkent
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TerDU

(Home)
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
20 Aug
TerDU
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
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Gazalkent

(Away)
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
FC Lochin
1 : 1
Gazalkent
28 Aug
Gazalkent
0 : 1
FarDU
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
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