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Ternana U20 vs Bari U20

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Primavera - Group C 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bari U20 in this Primavera - Group C 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bari U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ternana U20
20%
Draws
73%
Bari U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bari U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ternana U20.
  • Bari U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ternana U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Bari U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana U20 Bari U20
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Ternana U20 vs Bari U20
1:2
Nov 17, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Ternana U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana U20 11 / 100
Bari U20 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana U20 Bari U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bari U20 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Ternana U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ternana U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana U20 VS Bari U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 1
Napoli U20
13 Apr
Reggina U20
3 : 0
Ternana U20
06 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 2
Bari U20
03 Apr
Vicenza U20
2 : 0
Ternana U20
16 Mar
Ternana U20
0 : 1
AS Roma U20
Page 1 of 6

Bari U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Lazio U20
3 : 0
Bari U20
13 Apr
Bari U20
4 : 3
Juve Stabia U20
06 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 2
Bari U20
03 Apr
Bari U20
3 : 1
Pescara U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio U20 26 17 8 1 64:22 59
2 Catania U20 26 17 8 1 52:21 59
3 Palermo U20 26 17 6 3 63:27 57
4 Napoli U20 26 14 7 5 51:27 49
5 AS Roma U20 26 13 7 6 46:21 46
6 Ascoli U20 26 11 3 12 37:45 36
7 Reggina U20 26 9 8 9 43:39 35
8 Vicenza U20 26 8 8 10 29:37 32
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 8 7 11 43:47 31
10 Pescara U20 26 8 5 13 39:46 29
11 Bari U20 26 7 7 12 30:53 28
12 Crotone U20 26 6 5 15 35:70 23
13 Ternana U20 26 2 4 20 23:59 10
14 Lanciano U20 26 1 5 20 21:62 8
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)