Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Libero Liberati

Forli FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ternana play Forli FC in the Serie C - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ternana averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Forli FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Ternana won 1, Forli FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 23, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Ternana and 1.25 for Forli FC. This points to a Ternana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Ternana

32%

Draws

24%

Forli FC

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Ternana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Ternana picked up more points recently compared to Forli FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Ternana Clean Sheet 19%

Forli FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ternana	Forli FC
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	12	6
Draws	10	9
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.39	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Serie C - Group B

Ternana vs Forli FC

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B

Forli FC vs Ternana

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ndrecka A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Menarini F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 43 / 100

Forli FC 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ternana Forli FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ternana or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ternana attacking → ← attacking Forli FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Forli FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ternana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Forli FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 27

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arezzo	36	24	8	4	64:24	80
2	Ascoli	36	23	8	5	63:23	77
3	Ravenna	36	22	7	7	50:30	73
4	Campobasso	36	17	10	9	49:37	59
5	Juventus U23	36	14	11	11	46:43	53
6	Pianese	36	11	17	8	37:34	50
7	Pineto	36	13	11	12	42:45	50
8	Gubbio	36	11	15	10	31:32	48
9	Ternana	36	14	11	11	44:40	48
10	Vis Pesaro	36	11	13	12	38:36	46
11	Livorno	36	12	7	17	39:51	43
12	Forli FC	36	10	10	16	41:52	40
13	Carpi	36	10	10	16	35:48	40
14	Perugia	36	8	14	14	38:44	38
15	Guidonia 1937	36	8	14	14	30:36	38
16	Sambenedettese	36	8	13	15	30:37	37
17	Sassari Torres	36	6	18	12	32:45	36
18	Bra	36	6	14	16	37:54	32
19	US Pontedera	36	3	11	22	27:62	20
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0