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Terra e Mar vs Tiangua EC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gil
31' Event
Deivide Lucena
45' Event
Moreira W.

AI Match Summary

Tiangua EC in this Cearense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tiangua EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Terra e Mar
15%
Draws
34%
Tiangua EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terra e Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tiangua EC have won more games recently than Terra e Mar.
  • Model gives Terra e Mar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Terra e Mar Clean Sheet 13%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terra e Mar Tiangua EC
Matches Played 8 12
Wins 3 4
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Cearense 3
Terra e Mar vs Tiangua EC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terra e Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tauan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tiangua EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Deivide Lucena
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terra e Mar 35 / 100
Tiangua EC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terra e Mar Tiangua EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiangua EC let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Terra e Mar scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Difficult form: Tiangua EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Terra e Mar VS Tiangua EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Terra e Mar

(Home)
11 Aug
Quixada
1 : 0
Terra e Mar
03 Aug
Terra e Mar
0 : 5
Quixada
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
20 Jul
Terra e Mar
2 : 4
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
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Tiangua EC

(Away)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)