Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tervarit vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tervarit
15%
Draws
64%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lapuan Virkia Lapua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Lapuan Virkia Lapua have won more games recently than Tervarit.
  • Model gives Tervarit a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Lapuan Virkia Lapua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lapuan Virkia Lapua, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tervarit Clean Sheet 13%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tervarit Lapuan Virkia Lapua
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 0.88 1.4
Goals Conceded 3 5.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2005 Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Tervarit
4:3
Oct 1, 2005 Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs
Tervarit vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervarit 57 / 100
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tervarit Lapuan Virkia Lapua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tervarit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lapuan Virkia Lapua conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Lapuan Virkia Lapua lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tervarit scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tervarit VS Lapuan Virkia Lapua
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 5.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tervarit

(Home)
26 Apr
Tervarit
0 : 2
VPS
05 Oct
PS Kemi
4 : 1
Tervarit
29 Sept
Tervarit
1 : 1
PK-37
22 Sept
YPA
7 : 1
Tervarit
14 Sept
Tervarit
0 : 3
SJK Akatemia
Page 1 of 7

Lapuan Virkia Lapua

(Away)
29 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 4
JS Hercules
11 Apr
LappBK
1 : 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
13 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
2 : 5
GBK Kokkola
16 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 7
AC Oulu
01 Oct
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 9
AC Kajaani
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Helsingin Ponnistus 1
Vaajakoski 3
Tervarit 3
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 6