Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tervis Parnu vs TVMK Tallinn II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2004
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tervis Parnu in this Esiliiga 2004 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tervis Parnu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tervis Parnu
6%
Draws
4%
TVMK Tallinn II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tervis Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TVMK Tallinn II haven't matched Tervis Parnu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tervis Parnu a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tervis Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
TVMK Tallinn II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tervis Parnu TVMK Tallinn II
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 5 1.88
Goals Conceded 4 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2005 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs TVMK Tallinn II
5:0
Jul 30, 2005 Esiliiga
TVMK Tallinn II vs Tervis Parnu
0:0
Jun 21, 2005 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs TVMK Tallinn II
3:2
Mar 15, 2005 Esiliiga
TVMK Tallinn II vs Tervis Parnu
1:0
Oct 24, 2004 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs TVMK Tallinn II
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervis Parnu 83 / 100
TVMK Tallinn II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tervis Parnu TVMK Tallinn II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TVMK Tallinn II conceded in 89% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tervis Parnu found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: TVMK Tallinn II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tervis Parnu VS TVMK Tallinn II
5 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu28177474:3458
2Levadia U2128176575:3757
3Tervis Parnu28182870:5056
4Tallina JK Dunamo281221449:6738
5Kuressaare281121556:7035
6Lasnamae281021666:6632
7TVMK Tallinn II28831746:5427
8JK Jalgpallihaigla28541929:8719