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Tesla vs Atletico Paraense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Atletico Paraense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tesla
30%
Draws
41%
Atletico Paraense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Paraense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Paraense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Paraense taking it.
  • Atletico Paraense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Paraense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tesla Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tesla Atletico Paraense
Matches Played 15 13
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.53 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Paraense A3
Atletico Paraense vs Tesla
7:0
Nov 3, 2025 Paraense A3
Tesla vs Atletico Paraense
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tesla 10 / 100
Atletico Paraense 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tesla Atletico Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Paraense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Tesla's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Solid form: Tesla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico Paraense let in goals in 46% of their last 13 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tesla VS Atletico Paraense
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tesla

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
08 Nov
Atletico Paraense
7 : 0
Tesla
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Atletico Paraense

(Away)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gaviao 2
Sport Belem 1
Tesla 1
Atletico Paraense 12
Paraense SC 3
Santos PA 4
Venus 2
Belenense 3
Semi-finals
Gaviao 2
Atletico Paraense 5
Santos PA 5
Belenense 4
Final
Atletico Paraense 1
Santos PA 0