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Teungueth vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Teungueth Logo

Teungueth

2 - 0
FT
Mbour Logo

Mbour

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Teungueth in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teungueth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Teungueth
30%
Draws
19%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teungueth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Teungueth have won more games recently than Mbour.
  • Teungueth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 18.8%
Teungueth Clean Sheet 68%
Mbour Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teungueth Mbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 14 18
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.7 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.17 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs Mbour
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Teungueth
0:0
Jun 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs Mbour
0:0
Jan 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Teungueth
0:0
Jul 23, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Teungueth
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teungueth 95 / 100
Mbour 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teungueth Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teungueth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teungueth has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Teungueth scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mbour conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Teungueth VS Mbour
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
13% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Teungueth

(Home)
13 Sept
Teungueth
1 : 0
Canchungo
05 Sept
Canchungo
0 : 1
Teungueth
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 0
Teungueth
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
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Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)