Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Texoma FC vs El Paso Locomotive

USA USA

USL Cup 2025 Sherman Bearcat Stadium, Sherman, TX
Sun, Apr 27, 2025
0 - 1
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Romero B.
46'
Sub
Romero B. In: Quezada A.
Out: Romero B.
46'
Sub
Mora O. In: Cabrera A.
Out: Mora O.

AI Match Summary

El Paso Locomotive in this USL Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Texoma FC
17%
Draws
13%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Texoma FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • El Paso Locomotive have won more games recently than Texoma FC.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Texoma FC taking it.
  • El Paso Locomotive arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor El Paso Locomotive, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Texoma FC Clean Sheet 20%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Texoma FC El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 USL Cup
Texoma FC vs El Paso Locomotive
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Texoma FC 67 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Texoma FC El Paso Locomotive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Texoma FC scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

El Paso Locomotive has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Texoma FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

El Paso Locomotive's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Texoma FC VS El Paso Locomotive
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Texoma FC

(Home)
17 Jul
Laredo Heat
2 : 0
Texoma FC
12 Jul
McKinney Chupacabras
1 : 2
Texoma FC
08 Jul
Texoma FC
3 : 2
Denton Diablos
05 Jul
McKinney Chupacabras
0 : 2
Texoma FC
28 Jun
Lubbock Matadors
1 : 2
Texoma FC
Page 1 of 7

El Paso Locomotive

(Away)
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacramento Republic43016:19
2Las Vegas Lights43017:69
3Monterey Bay42026:66
4Orange County SC42025:66
5AV Alta FC42026:65
6Oakland Roots41035:74
7Spokane Velocity41032:53
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC43016:310
2New Mexico430111:88
3Phoenix Rising430112:107
4Colorado Springs42027:57
5El Paso Locomotive42024:46
6Union Omaha41033:53
7Texoma FC40045:131
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indy Eleven44009:211
2Birmingham Legion43018:510
3Chattanooga Red Wolves42025:85
4FC Tulsa41038:84
5Forward Madison41033:84
6One Knoxville41033:52
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rhode Island430111:510
2Hartford Athletic430110:79
3Detroit City43019:68
4Portland Hearts of Pine42028:105
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds41033:54
6Westchester SC40043:110
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence43019:59
2Louisville City43018:49
3Loudoun United43016:49
4North Carolina FC42024:45
5Lexington41036:64
6Richmond Kickers40041:110
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greenville Triumph43016:39
2Tampa Bay42028:77
3South Georgia Tormenta42028:87
4Charleston42026:65
5Miami FC42028:95
6FC Naples41034:73
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)