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Thackley vs Bury FC

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Gilboy L.
83' Event
Elhassan S.
87' Event
Elhassan S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Thackley and Bury FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bury FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Thackley
15%
Draws
68%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Bury FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bury FC a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Thackley Clean Sheet 15%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thackley Bury FC
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 3 21
Draws 1 1
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.18 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Thackley vs Bury FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thackley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Bury FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Elhassan S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilboy L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thackley 10 / 100
Bury FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thackley Bury FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thackley scored in 71% of their last 17 outings.

Bury FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Thackley remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bury FC
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thackley

(Home)
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
4 : 0
Thackley
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
18 Jul
Thackley
1 : 6
Guiseley
08 Jul
Bradford PA
3 : 1
Thackley
04 Jul
Steeton
4 : 1
Thackley
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Bury FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
05 Sept
Bury FC
8 : 0
Wythenshawe FC
31 Aug
Hyde
2 : 1
Bury FC
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0
Ilkeston
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