Sport Picks

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Thailand U23 vs Myanmar U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Chainarong P.
Assist: Wanpraphao C.
32' Event
Wanpraphao C.
Assist: Promsomboon N.
43'
Buaphan C.

AI Match Summary

The AFF Championship U23 2023 game between Thailand U23 and Myanmar U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Thailand U23
30%
Draws
23%
Myanmar U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thailand U23 come out ahead of Myanmar U23 on wins alone.
  • Thailand U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Thailand U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Myanmar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U23 Myanmar U23
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2.19 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Thailand U23 vs Myanmar U23
0:0
Aug 17, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Thailand U23 vs Myanmar U23
3:0
Nov 13, 2019 Friendly International
Thailand U23 vs Myanmar U23
3:2
Aug 26, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs Myanmar U23
1:0
Jun 15, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Myanmar U23 vs Thailand U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chainarong P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wanpraphao C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Myanmar U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 95 / 100
Myanmar U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U23 Myanmar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Myanmar U23 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Thailand U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS Myanmar U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
South Korea U23
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Myanmar U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
03 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
22 Jul
Thailand U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Philippines U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)