Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thaon vs Sochaux

France France

Coupe de France 2022/2023
Sat, Nov 19, 2022
3 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mauricio T.
(Penalty)
48'
Armougom Y.
48'
Armougom Y.

AI Match Summary

Thaon in this Coupe de France 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thaon
30%
Draws
28%
Sochaux
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thaon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thaon lately — more wins on the board than Sochaux.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Thaon taking it.
  • Thaon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sochaux, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Thaon Clean Sheet 20%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thaon Sochaux
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 0 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2022 Coupe de France
Thaon vs Sochaux
3:2
Jan 5, 2013 Coupe de France
Thaon vs Sochaux
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thaon Compare

Top Goalscorer Dufour Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Condi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thaon 67 / 100
Sochaux 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thaon Sochaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thaon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thaon scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Sochaux let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Thaon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sochaux
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thaon

(Home)
15 Jan
Thaon
2 : 3
Strasbourg
21 Dec
Thaon
2 : 1
Amiens SC
01 Dec
Luneville
0 : 4
Thaon
16 Nov
Sarre Union
0 : 2
Thaon
09 Dec
Thaon
0 : 1
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

Sochaux

(Away)
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0
Guingamp
14 Aug
Red Star
0 : 0
Sochaux
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Gandrange 0
Geispolsheim 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Sochaux 3
Chambly 1
Amiens SC 2
Golden Lion 1
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havre Caucriauville 0
AF Virois 4
Saint-Malo 2
Caen 3
Grand Santi 2
Le Geldar 1
Evreux 1
Grand Quevilly 0
Armentieres 0
Marnaval 2
Prix les Mezieres 0
Bastia 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orvault 2
Laval 1
Sene 0
Chataigneraie 3
Fougeres 3
Le Mans 2
Chartres-de-Bretagne 0
Avranches 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Paris 15 1
Linas-Montlhery 2
Liancourt Clermont 0
Paris 13 Atletico 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Lescar 0
EBBE 2
Toulon 1
Aubagne FC 2
Chambery 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Rumilly Vallieres 3
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 1
Metz 2
Heillecourt 0
Epinal 4
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Agde 2
Colomiers 3
Salinieres 0
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Andrezieux 0
Chatellerault 4
SA Merignac 2
Chauray 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 3
USLPV 2
Pont Sainte Maxence 0
Vierzon Foot 2
Vitre 0
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 1
Cholet 0
Plouvorn 1
Sable 0
Vannes 2
Concarneau 1
Illzach Modenheim 1
Grenoble 4
ES Tarentaise 0
Villefranche 5
Montauban 3
Ales 2
Nimes 3
Borgo 0
St Esteve Perpignan 3
Narbonne 1
Hyeres 3
Alberes Argeles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 1
Trelissac 2
Stade Bordelais 0
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Chaumontois 1
Lucciana 0
JA Drancy 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
FC Bondues 0
Wasquehal 2
Merpins 0
Lege Capferret 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Chateauroux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 2
Gueugnon 1
Velay 2
Macon 3
Bourges 18 1
St Apollinaire 0
Saint-Pryve 2
Dijon 1
Saint-Doulchard 1
Cosne US 3
Les Ulis 1
Paris FC 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Escaudain 1
Valenciennes 2
Red Star 1
Haguenau 1
Jura Dolois 0
Venus 0
Belfort 3
Olympique Marcquois 3
Cambrai 1
St Quentin 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Villerupt Thil 3
FC de Villers les Nancy 1
Reipertswiller 3
Nancy 2
Saint Priest 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Annecy 8
Diables Noirs 1
Bellevue Nantes 2
Basse Goulaine 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Lannion FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Venissieux FC 0
Limonest 2
Jura Sud 3
Vaulx 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 4
Le Havre 3
St Gregoire 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Mareuil SC 1
Les Herbiers 6
Auray 0
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 2
Poissy 1
Teteghem 1
Loon Plage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
NDC Angers 2
Granville 4
L'Etoile 2
Baie Mahault 1
Biars-Bretenoux 1
Bergerac 2
Merignac 0
Niort 1
Eperlecques 0
Bethune 1
Beauvais 0
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 2
Feurs 1
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
RC Grasse 2
Aubervilliers 2
Quevilly 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
St Etienne 0
Rodez 1
1/64-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Thaon 3
Sochaux 2
Amiens SC 10
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Nantes -
TBD -
AF Virois 3
Caen 0
Grand Santi 0
Evreux 3
Marnaval 0
Bastia 3
Lorient -
TBD -
Orvault 0
Chataigneraie 1
Fougeres 0
Avranches 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 2
Paris 13 Atletico 1
TBD -
Lens -
EBBE 1
Aubagne FC 4
Chambery 2
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Lyon -
TBD -
Metz 1
Epinal 0
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Colomiers 0
Pau 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Chatellerault 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 0
Vierzon Foot 6
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 2
Plouvorn 0
Vannes 1
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 0
Montauban 0
Nimes 4
St Esteve Perpignan 1
Hyeres 2
TBD -
Marseille -
Trelissac 2
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
JA Drancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Wasquehal 1
Lege Capferret 1
Chateauroux 4
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 4
Macon 1
Bourges 18 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Cosne US 0
Paris FC 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Valenciennes 3
Haguenau 1
Belfort 2
Olympique Marcquois 0
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 2
Reipertswiller 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Annecy 3
Bellevue Nantes 0
Lannion FC 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Limonest 1
Jura Sud 2
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 3
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 1
Loon Plage 2
TBD -
Reims -
Granville 6
L'Etoile 0
Bergerac 0
Niort 1
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 4
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 0
RC Grasse 1
Aubervilliers 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Rodez 1
1/32-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Clermont 0
Strasbourg 0
Angers 1
Thaon 1
Amiens SC 0
Nantes 2
AF Virois 0
Evreux 1
Bastia 2
Lorient 6
Chataigneraie 0
Avranches 0
Brest 2
Linas-Montlhery 0
Lens 2
Aubagne FC 1
Chambery 3
Lyon 2
Metz 1
Lille 2
Troyes 0
Pau 2
Montpellier 1
Nice 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Avoine 1
Vierzon Foot 2
Plabennec 2
Vannes 0
Grenoble 1
Nimes 0
Hyeres 0
Marseille 2
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Wasquehal 1
Chateauroux 1
PSG 3
Chamalieres 1
Bourges 18 0
Paris FC 3
Valenciennes 1
Belfort 3
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Annecy 6
Lannion FC 1
Toulouse 7
Jura Sud 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 4
Loon Plage 0
Reims 7
Granville 0
Niort 3
Dunkerque 2
Auxerre 3
RC Grasse 1
Tamponnaise 0
Monaco 2
Rodez 3
1/16-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 0
Angers 1
Thaon 0
Nantes 1
Bastia 1
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Lens 3
Chambery 0
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Pau 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Vierzon Foot 1
Plabennec 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 1
Rennes 0
U.S. Pays de Cassel 0
PSG 7
Chamalieres 0
Paris FC 4
Belfort 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Les Herbiers 0
Reims 3
Niort 0
Auxerre 4
RC Grasse 0
Rodez 1
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Nantes 2
Lorient 1
Lens 2
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
PSG 1
Paris FC 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 3
Reims 1
Auxerre 2
Rodez 3
Quarter-finals
Nantes 2
Lens 1
Lyon 2
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
Annecy 3
Toulouse 6
Rodez 1
Semi-finals
Nantes 1
Lyon 0
Annecy 1
Toulouse 2
Final
Nantes 1
Toulouse 5