Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2018/2019

Thatcham

2 - 0

Cirencester

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thatcham in this FA Trophy 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Thatcham

15%

Draws

85%

Cirencester

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cirencester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Cirencester lately — more wins on the board than Thatcham.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Cirencester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Thatcham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Thatcham Clean Sheet 12%

Cirencester Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thatcham	Cirencester
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	12
Draws	2	3
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	1.39	2
Goals Conceded	1.93	2.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.22	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2018 FA Trophy

Thatcham vs Cirencester

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thatcham 30 / 100

Cirencester 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thatcham Cirencester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirencester Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thatcham's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cirencester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Cirencester registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thatcham VS Cirencester

0.57 Goals Scored 1.63

1.86 Goals Conceded 1.88

71% Over 1.5 88%

57% Over 2.5 63%

14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thatcham

(Home)

17 Sept

Thatcham

1 : 2

Evesham

09 Sept

Thatcham

2 : 3

Bristol Manor Farm

29 Jul

Thatcham

0 : 3

Hungerford

15 Jul

Thatcham

0 : 2

Maidenhead

24 Sept

Thatcham

0 : 3

AFC Dunstable

Page 1 of 6

Cirencester

(Away)

19 Sept

Cirencester

2 : 2

Farnham

05 Sept

Fleetlands

0 : 3

Cirencester

22 Jul

Cirencester

2 : 4

Swindon Supermarine

23 Jul

Cirencester

0 : 5

Gloucester City

09 Sept

Frome Town

3 : 1

Cirencester

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports 2

Cambridge City 4

Rushall -

TBD -

Stafford -

Stamford 1

Belper Town 0

Loughborough Dynamo 2

Leek Town 5

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Kettering -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

Nantwich -

Buxton -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

FC Wisbech Town 3

Corby 2

Yaxley 3

Frickley 3

Skelmersdale 1

Trafford 1

Ramsbottom Utd 2

AFC Mansfield 2

Soham 1

TBD -

Hednesford -

Pickering Town 3

Stocksbridge 0

Tadcaster Albion 1

Droylsden 3

Neots -

TBD -

Matlock -

Barwell -

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Lancaster -

TBD -

Marine -

Clitheroe 3

Pontefract Collieries 2

Colwyn Bay 0

Ossett United 6

Newcastle Town 2

Gresley 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Chasetown 2

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Workington -

Marske United 4

Atherton Collieries 3

Radcliffe 2

Cleethorpes 3

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Halesowen -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Kendal 1

Prescot Cables 5

Alvechurch -

TBD -

Stratford -

Redditch -

TBD -

Mickleover -

Witton Albion -

TBD -

Whitby -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Farsley -

TBD -

Morpeth 3

Brighouse Town 4

Bedworth United -

TBD -

Spalding United 1

Carlton Town 4

South Shields -

TBD -

North Ferriby United -

Bamber Bridge -

TBD -

Hyde -

Brightlingsea -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers 0

Canvey Island 2

Ramsgate 2

Phoenix Sports 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Lewes -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Ashford Town 3

Farnborough -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

Chipstead 2

Welwyn Garden 1

South Park 1

Berkhamsted Town 5

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Grays 2

Sevenoaks 4

Whyteleafe 4

Hastings 2

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Hendon -

TBD -

Staines -

Harrow Borough -

TBD -

Biggleswade Town -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Wimborne -

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Chalfont St Peter 0

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Bristol Manor Farm 1

Paulton Rovers 0

Larkhall 0

Thame United 1

Horsham FC 3

Ware 1

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals -

Margate -

TBD -

Potters -

Brentwood 4

Marlow 1

Bedfont Sports 1

Whitstable Town 4

Frome Town -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Herne Bay 2

Aylesbury Vale 1

AFC Dunstable 0

FC Witham Town 1

Kings Langley -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Leiston -

TBD -

Hanwell Town 1

VCD Athletic 3

Thatcham 2

Cirencester 0

Slimbridge 2

Melksham 3

Salisbury -

TBD -

Barnstaple Town 1

Fleet Town 2

East Grinstead Town 1

Great Wakering 0

TBD -

Merstham -

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Banbury -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Barking 0

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Carshalton -

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Harlow -

Weymouth -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Cinderford Town 5

Moneyfields 0

Bideford 2

Street 3

Yate 1

Blackfield & Langley 0

TBD -

Dorchester -

Gosport Borough -

TBD -

North Leigh 2

AFC Totton 6

Aveley 2

Basildon 1

Northwood 0

Dunstable Town 2

Kempston 3

Dereham 1

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Chesham -

Walton Casuals -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

Molesey 1

Bracknell Town 3

Haywards Heath 2

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Leatherhead -

Didcot 2

Hertford Town 1

Kidlington 0

Mangotsfield 3

Greenwich Borough 4

Egham Town 1

Aylesbury United 2

Mildenhall 3

Hythe 2

Romania 0

TBD -

Stortford -

Hartley Wintney -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Sittingbourne 2

Faversham 0

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Basford Utd. 2

Cambridge City 1

Rushall 1

Stafford 2

Stamford 1

Leek Town 0

Stourbridge 0

Kettering 2

Stalybridge 1

Nantwich 0

Buxton 5

King’s Lynn 4

FC Wisbech Town 1

Yaxley 3

Frickley 0

Ramsbottom Utd 3

AFC Mansfield 2

Hednesford 1

Pickering Town 5

Droylsden 4

Neots 1

Matlock 0

Barwell 4

Coalville Town 3

Lancaster 2

Marine 0

Clitheroe 1

Ossett United 2

Newcastle Town 5

Chasetown 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

Workington 1

Marske United 2

Cleethorpes 0

Gainsborough 0

Tamworth 3

Halesowen 4

Grantham Town 0

Warrington Town 0

Prescot Cables 1

Alvechurch 1

Stratford 4

Redditch 0

Mickleover 1

Witton Albion 1

Whitby 0

St Ives Town 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Farsley 4

Brighouse Town 1

Bedworth United 0

Carlton Town 1

South Shields 4

North Ferriby United 0

Bamber Bridge 0

Hyde 3

Brightlingsea 1

Canvey Island 0

Ramsgate 0

Hornchurch 6

Lewes 2

Ashford Town 1

Farnborough 2

Merthyr Town 3

Chipstead 2

Berkhamsted Town 1

Kingstonian 3

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers 2

Sevenoaks 1

Whyteleafe 1

Tonbridge 2

Hendon 2

Staines 1

Harrow Borough 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Basingstoke 4

Wimborne 2

Lowestoft 0

Enfield Town 1

Royston Town 3

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Bristol Manor Farm 2

Thame United 4

Horsham FC 3

Corinthian-Casuals 0

Margate 1

Potters 2

Brentwood 3

Whitstable Town 1

Frome Town 1

Poole Town 2

Herne Bay 2

FC Witham Town 1

Kings Langley 0

Needham Market 2

Leiston 3

VCD Athletic 1

Thatcham 1

Melksham 2

Salisbury 3

Fleet Town 0

East Grinstead Town 0

Merstham 2

Swindon Supermarine 1

Banbury 4

Hitchin 0

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police 3

Carshalton 4

Whitehawk 2

Harlow 3

Weymouth 3

Taunton Town 1

Cinderford Town 3

Street 6

Yate 1

Dorchester 3

Gosport Borough 1

AFC Totton 2

Aveley 1

Dunstable Town 0

Kempston 2

Beaconsfield Town 4

Burgess Hill 2

Worthing FC 3

Haringey Borough 3

Chesham 4

Walton Casuals 1

Molesey 0

Bracknell Town 4

Bognor Regis 5

Folkestone 5

Leatherhead 1

Didcot 5

Mangotsfield 3

Greenwich Borough 4

Mildenhall 2

Hythe 1

Stortford 2

Hartley Wintney 2

Tiverton 6

Sittingbourne 1

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Basford Utd. 4

Stafford 0

Stamford 1

Kettering 0

Stalybridge 2

Buxton 1

Yaxley 3

Ramsbottom Utd 7

AFC Mansfield 2

Pickering Town 4

Neots 0

Barwell 1

Lancaster 1

Ossett United 0

Newcastle Town 2

Workington 7

Marske United 2

Tamworth 0

Halesowen 3

Prescot Cables 2

Stratford 2

Mickleover 1

Witton Albion 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Farsley 4

Carlton Town 0

South Shields 2

Hyde 1

Brightlingsea 2

Hornchurch 1

Lewes 2

Merthyr Town 0

Chipstead 2

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers 1

Tonbridge 0

Hendon 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Basingstoke 2

Enfield Town 1

Royston Town 5

Thame United 2

Horsham FC 1

Potters 0

Brentwood 3

Poole Town 6

Herne Bay 0

Needham Market 1

Leiston 2

Melksham 1

Salisbury 2

Merstham 0

Banbury 0

Hayes & Yeading 2

Carshalton 3

Harlow 1

Weymouth 3

Street 2

Dorchester 3

AFC Totton 1

Aveley 1

Beaconsfield Town 2

Worthing FC 1

Chesham 0

Walton Casuals 2

Bognor Regis 0

Folkestone 3

Didcot 0

Greenwich Borough 1

Stortford 0

Tiverton 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Thatcham vs Cirencester

England

Thatcham

Cirencester

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Thatcham

Cirencester

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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