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The Cove FC vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Yates C.
37'
Bannister A.
54' Event
Higgins C.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between The Cove FC and Salisbury United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward The Cove FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
The Cove FC
44%
Draws
20%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Salisbury United haven't matched The Cove FC's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 13%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Salisbury United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs The Cove FC
0:4
Mar 28, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Salisbury United
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs The Cove FC
4:3
Apr 12, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Salisbury United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yates C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higgins C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Salisbury United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 35 / 100
Salisbury United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

The Cove FC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: The Cove FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS Salisbury United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

The Cove FC

(Home)
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Salisbury United

(Away)
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
03 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
1 : 0
Salisbury United
27 Jun
Salisbury United
0 : 4
The Cove FC
20 Jun
Fulham United
2 : 2
Salisbury United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders19131550:2340
2Adelaide Olympic19121638:2437
3Modbury Jets19105438:1835
4Fulham United19103638:2833
5Cumberland United19101834:2531
6Blue Eagles1994632:2731
7Adelaide Atletico1993733:2930
8The Cove FC1975726:2726
9Adelaide Cobras19621122:3720
10Eastern United19441118:3916
11Salisbury United19421324:4214
12South Adelaide19331320:5412
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)