Sport Picks
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC
Japan
J2/J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi 
Match Events
9'
9'
Nishino T.
Assist: Meshino S.
15'
15'
Nishino T.
Assist: Tabata T.
37'
37'
Nagai T.
AI Match Summary
Tochigi SC in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tochigi SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thespakusatsu Gunma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Thespakusatsu Gunma lately — more wins on the board than Tochigi SC.
- Thespakusatsu Gunma are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 20%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5:1
Mar 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Tochigi SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Nishino T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nagai T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thespakusatsu Gunma 42 / 100
Tochigi SC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thespakusatsu Gunma Tochigi SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Tochigi SC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Thespakusatsu Gunma remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Tochigi SC
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Home) 07 Jun
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Gifu
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
17 May
Blaublitz
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
09 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Gifu
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
09 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Tochigi City
29 Apr
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
25 Apr
Thespakusatsu Gunma
3 : 1 Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 3
Tochigi SC
(Away) 07 Jun
Tochigi SC
2 : 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
31 May
Tochigi SC
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
24 May
Vanraure
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
17 May
Yokohama FC
1 : 0 Tochigi SC
10 May
Tochigi SC
1 : 0 Blaublitz
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Vanraure
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
17 May
Yokohama FC
1 : 0 Tochigi SC
06 May
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Tochigi SC
03 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 2 Tochigi SC
25 Apr
Tochigi City
2 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)