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Thesprotos vs Lefkimmi

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thesprotos host Lefkimmi in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026. This has Lefkimmi written all over it on paper. Thesprotos have averaged 0.43 scored and 2.4 conceded recently, against Lefkimmi's 1.55 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Lefkimmi slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 2.06, favoring Lefkimmi. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thesprotos
15%
Draws
85%
Lefkimmi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Thesprotos haven't matched Lefkimmi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lefkimmi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thesprotos Lefkimmi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Lefkimmi
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos
1:3
Jan 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Lefkimmi
1:3
Mar 17, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thesprotos 10 / 100
Lefkimmi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thesprotos Lefkimmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lefkimmi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lefkimmi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Thesprotos's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Lefkimmi registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thesprotos VS Lefkimmi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thesprotos

(Home)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

Lefkimmi

(Away)
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)