Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thonon-Evian vs Bourgoin Jallieu

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bozkurt C.
10' Event
Chaibi M.
34' Event
Tirard C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Thonon-Evian and Bourgoin Jallieu finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thonon-Evian.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Thonon-Evian
20%
Draws
69%
Bourgoin Jallieu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bourgoin Jallieu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Thonon-Evian have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Bourgoin Jallieu are scoring more at 1.2.
  • Model gives Bourgoin Jallieu a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 23%
Bourgoin Jallieu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon-Evian Bourgoin Jallieu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs Bourgoin Jallieu
4:2
Jan 6, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Bourgoin Jallieu vs Thonon-Evian
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon-Evian Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaibi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tirard C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bourgoin Jallieu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozkurt C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon-Evian 10 / 100
Bourgoin Jallieu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon-Evian Bourgoin Jallieu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourgoin Jallieu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Thonon-Evian found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bourgoin Jallieu conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Thonon-Evian stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thonon-Evian VS Bourgoin Jallieu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon-Evian

(Home)
16 Nov
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1 : 0
Thonon-Evian
23 Jul
Villefranche
0 : 0
Thonon-Evian
26 Jul
Thonon-Evian
0 : 2
Paris FC
18 May
Cannes
2 : 1
Thonon-Evian
11 May
Thonon-Evian
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

Bourgoin Jallieu

(Away)
06 Feb
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 1
Reims
15 Jan
Bourgoin Jallieu
3 : 2
Lyon
21 Dec
Bourgoin Jallieu
4 : 1
Martigues
30 Nov
Bourgoin Jallieu
3 : 0
Olympique de Valence
16 Nov
ASJR Football
0 : 4
Bourgoin Jallieu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
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