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Stadium Background

Thor Akureyri vs Akranes

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Magnusson A.
21'
Jakobsen C.
27'
Sandberg E. T.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Thor Akureyri and Akranes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akranes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Thor Akureyri
20%
Draws
46%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri haven't matched Akranes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Akranes a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Akranes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Akranes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.6 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Thor Akureyri
2:0
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Akranes
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 League Cup
Akranes vs Thor Akureyri
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs Akranes
2:3
Jun 29, 2023 Division 1
Akranes vs Thor Akureyri
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Affi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellertsson M. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
Akranes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Thor Akureyri found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Thor Akureyri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Akranes
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
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Akranes

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)