Sport Picks
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
Iceland
Icelandic Cup Thorsvollur, Akureyri 
Match Events
20'
20'
Ragnarsson R.
23'
23'
Jonsson B.
29'
29'
Gudjohnsen A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnarfjordur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Thor Akureyri come out ahead of Hafnarfjordur on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Hafnarfjordur taking it.
- Thor Akureyri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hafnarfjordur, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 20%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thor Akureyri | Hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
2:4
Mar 11, 2025 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
2:2
Mar 6, 2021 League Cup
Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thor Akureyri Compare
Top Goalscorer Ragnarsson R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Magnusson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Hafnarfjordur Compare
Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gudjohnsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thor Akureyri Hafnarfjordur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hafnarfjordur let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Thor Akureyri found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Thor Akureyri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Thor Akureyri VS Hafnarfjordur
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Thor Akureyri
(Home) 19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0 Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1 Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1 Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2 Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Breidablik
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1 Vikingur Reykjavik
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4
Hafnarfjordur
(Away) 20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1 Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
09 Aug
KA Akureyri
0 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
14 Jun
Keflavik
1 : 2 Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
