Sport Picks

Scotland

Lowland League 2014/2015

Vale Of Leithen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Threave Rovers play Vale Of Leithen in the Lowland League 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Threave Rovers averaged 1.27 goals scored and 3.53 conceded. Vale Of Leithen averaged 0.47 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. In past meetings, Threave Rovers won 2, Vale Of Leithen won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 28, 2024 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.50 for Threave Rovers and 1.44 for Vale Of Leithen. This points to a Threave Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Threave Rovers

23%

Draws

32%

Vale Of Leithen

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Threave Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Threave Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Vale Of Leithen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.50 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Threave Rovers Clean Sheet 16%

Vale Of Leithen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Threave Rovers	Vale Of Leithen
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	3	2
Draws	1	4
Losses	26	28
Goals Scored	1.27	0.47
Goals Conceded	3.53	4.47
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Scottish Cup

Threave Rovers vs Vale Of Leithen

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

6:1

Mar 26, 2016 Lowland League

Vale Of Leithen vs Threave Rovers

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Mar 23, 2016 Lowland League

Threave Rovers vs Vale Of Leithen

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 4, 2015 Lowland League

Vale Of Leithen vs Threave Rovers

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Dec 13, 2014 Lowland League

Threave Rovers vs Vale Of Leithen

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Threave Rovers 44 / 100

Vale Of Leithen 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Threave Rovers Vale Of Leithen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Threave Rovers or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.28

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Threave Rovers attacking → ← attacking Vale Of Leithen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Threave Rovers scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Vale Of Leithen let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Threave Rovers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vale Of Leithen lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 10

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.13

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Edinburgh City	26	22	3	1	65:14	69
2	East Kilbride	26	15	5	6	63:25	50
3	Gretna 2008	26	13	6	7	62:32	45
4	Dalbeattie Star	26	11	9	6	51:39	42
5	Spartans	26	11	9	6	45:34	42
6	Stirling University	26	12	6	8	46:38	42
7	Whitehill Welfare	26	11	7	8	57:38	40
8	Gala Fairydean Rovers	26	9	7	10	48:54	34
9	Vale Of Leithen	26	9	6	11	39:53	33
10	Broomhill	26	7	9	10	39:52	30
11	Edinburgh University	26	8	4	14	40:52	28
12	Selkirk	26	6	5	15	53:74	23
13	Preston Athletic	26	3	5	18	31:75	14
14	Threave Rovers	26	2	5	19	21:80	11