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Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Thorisson A.
22' Event
Erlingsson E.
40' Event
Biberdzic D.

AI Match Summary

Throttur Vogar in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
59%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar have won more games recently than KFG Gardabaer.
  • Win probability leans KFG Gardabaer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.47 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabaer
5:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar
3:1
Jul 30, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar
4:3
May 23, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorisson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Erlingsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Biberdzic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur Vogar scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

KFG Gardabaer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Throttur Vogar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS KFG Gardabaer
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
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KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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