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Thun II vs Biel

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Frith D.
28' Event
Maurer N.
54' Event
Socka Bongue L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Thun II and Biel finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Biel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Thun II
20%
Draws
47%
Biel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Thun II haven't matched Biel's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thun II Clean Sheet 10%
Biel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun II Biel
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.72 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Thun II vs Biel
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun II Compare

Top Goalscorer Frith D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Maurer N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Socka Bongue L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun II 34 / 100
Biel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun II Biel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Biel has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Thun II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun II VS Biel
1.86 Goals Scored 2.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun II

(Home)
12 Sept
Black Stars
2 : 2
Thun II
05 Sept
Thun II
4 : 1
Munsingen
29 Aug
Courtetelle
5 : 2
Thun II
22 Aug
Thun II
2 : 1
Concordia
14 Aug
Delemont
2 : 1
Thun II
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Biel

(Away)
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
30 Aug
Bulle
1 : 1
Biel
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
19 Aug
Bruhl SG
0 : 1
Biel
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