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Thun W vs Luzern W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ueltschi S.
41'
Sub
Ueltschi R. In: Frey C.
Out: Ueltschi R.
53' Event
Amuchie A.

AI Match Summary

Luzern W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzern W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thun W
20%
Draws
44%
Luzern W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thun W lately — more wins on the board than Luzern W.
  • Model gives Thun W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Thun W Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun W Luzern W
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Luzern W
1:4
May 2, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Thun W
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Thun W
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Luzern W
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Thun W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ueltschi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Luzern W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amuchie A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schallberger R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun W 40 / 100
Luzern W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun W Luzern W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Thun W scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Thun W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun W VS Luzern W
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun W

(Home)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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Luzern W

(Away)
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
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