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Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba

USA USA

USL League Two 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thunder Bay Chill in this USL League Two 2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Thunder Bay Chill
11%
Draws
9%
FC Manitoba
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thunder Bay Chill lately — more wins on the board than FC Manitoba.
  • Model gives Thunder Bay Chill a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 20%
FC Manitoba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill FC Manitoba
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 22 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.75 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba
1:0
May 28, 2023 USL League Two
FC Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:1
Jul 16, 2022 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba
2:1
Jul 15, 2022 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba
2:1
May 29, 2022 USL League Two
FC Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 76 / 100
FC Manitoba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill FC Manitoba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thunder Bay Chill scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

FC Manitoba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Thunder Bay Chill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thunder Bay Chill VS FC Manitoba
2.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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FC Manitoba

(Away)
14 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
FC Manitoba
09 Jul
FC Manitoba
1 : 2
Minneapolis City
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 0
FC Manitoba
02 Jul
Rochester FC
2 : 2
FC Manitoba
01 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
FC Manitoba
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