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Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL Premier Development League 2018
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2018 game between Thunder Bay Chill and St. Louis Lions finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Thunder Bay Chill
15%
Draws
8%
St. Louis Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Thunder Bay Chill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Thunder Bay Chill taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 19%
St. Louis Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill St. Louis Lions
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 22 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.19 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2020 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions
0:0
Jun 11, 2020 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jul 1, 2019 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions
2:1
May 26, 2019 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:0
Jul 7, 2018 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 85 / 100
St. Louis Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill St. Louis Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thunder Bay Chill scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Louis Lions conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

Thunder Bay Chill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Louis Lions lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thunder Bay Chill VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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St. Louis Lions

(Away)
17 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
16 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
14 Jul
Chicago City
3 : 3
St. Louis Lions
03 Jul
FC Wichita
2 : 1
St. Louis Lions
03 Jul
FC Wichita
3 : 1
St. Louis Lions
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