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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Quiles A.
Assist: Guilherme Schettine
46'
Sub
Shi Songchen In: Peng Xiao
Out: Shi Songchen
46'
Sub
Duan Liuyu In: Qazaishvili V.
Out: Duan Liuyu

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Shandong Taishan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
33%
Draws
27%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shandong Taishan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Tianjin Jinmen Tiger taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 13%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
4:1
May 21, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chen Zeshi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 39 / 100
Shandong Taishan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shandong Taishan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Shandong Taishan
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411