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Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United

Australia Australia

NPL ACT 2025 AIS Arena, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Akio W.
35' Event
Milicevic J.
57' Event
Lawrence Z.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT 2025 game between Tigers FC and Tuggeranong United finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigers FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tigers FC
20%
Draws
38%
Tuggeranong United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tigers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigers FC come out ahead of Tuggeranong United on wins alone.
  • Tigers FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular NPL ACT 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tigers FC Clean Sheet 15%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigers FC Tuggeranong United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
4:1
May 2, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Tigers FC
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
4:1
Jun 29, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Tigers FC
0:3
May 3, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Akio W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milicevic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Tuggeranong United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigers FC 41 / 100
Tuggeranong United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigers FC Tuggeranong United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigers FC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Tuggeranong United let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tigers FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigers FC VS Tuggeranong United
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigers FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1
Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tigers FC
0 : 2
Western Sydney Wanderers
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
04 Jul
Canberra White Eagles
0 : 2
Tigers FC
27 Jun
Monaro Panthers
2 : 0
Tigers FC
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Tuggeranong United

(Away)
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1
Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tuggeranong United
2 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0
Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3
Tuggeranong United
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia21170482:2651
2Tigers FC21134450:3343
3Monaro Panthers21133564:2442
4Tuggeranong United2176831:5027
5Gungahlin21741036:6025
6Queanbeyan City2166920:3524
7Yoogali21431431:4915
8O'Connor Knights21321633:7011
Promotion - NPL ACT 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2026 (Main)