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Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres Futbol Club play Cartagena in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tigres Futbol Club averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Cartagena averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Tigres Futbol Club won 0, Cartagena won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Tigres Futbol Club and 1.06 for Cartagena. This points to a Cartagena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Tigres Futbol Club
35%
Draws
40%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cartagena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club picked up more points recently compared to Cartagena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 22%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Futbol Club Cartagena
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
1:1
May 30, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
3:0
Mar 18, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Futbol Club 27 / 100
Cartagena 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Futbol Club Cartagena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cartagena or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tigres Futbol Club attacking → ← attacking Cartagena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres Futbol Club scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Cartagena let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tigres Futbol Club went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cartagena lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 52
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237