Sport Picks
Tigres UANL W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
Mexico
Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza 
Match Events
12'
12'
Casarez J. A.
44'
44'
Cervantes A.
46'
46'
Sub
Jheniffer In: Delgado A.
Out: Jheniffer
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Tigres UANL W and Guadalajara Chivas W finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tigres UANL W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tigres UANL W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tigres UANL W's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Guadalajara Chivas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Tigres UANL W
2:4
Mar 4, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:0
Sep 30, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigres UANL W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ordonez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Casarez J. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cervantes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tigres UANL W 58 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tigres UANL W Guadalajara Chivas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigres UANL W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Guadalajara Chivas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Tigres UANL W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tigres UANL W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tigres UANL W
(Home) 04 May
Tigres UANL W
1 : 2 Toluca W
01 May
Toluca W
2 : 1 Tigres UANL W
25 Apr
Monterrey W
0 : 3 Tigres UANL W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
03 Apr
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Tigres UANL W
Page 1 of 7
04 May
Tigres UANL W
1 : 2 Toluca W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
26 Mar
Tigres UANL W
0 : 1 Club America W
16 Mar
Tigres UANL W
6 : 0 Queretaro W
13 Mar
Tigres UANL W
4 : 1 Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Away) 04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1 Pachuca W
25 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 1 Toluca W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Mar
Club Tijuana W
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
21 Mar
Monterrey W
0 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Monterrey W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | 34 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | 28 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis W | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | 21 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC W | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | 9 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
