Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tikves vs Besa 1976

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion Kavadarci, Kavadarci
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Petrovic M.
40' Event
Milovanovikj D.
46'
Sub
Samake A. In: Esati D.
Out: Samake A.

AI Match Summary

Tikves in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tikves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tikves
35%
Draws
37%
Besa 1976
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Besa 1976

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tikves have won more games recently than Besa 1976.
  • Win probability leans Tikves's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tikves Clean Sheet 10%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Besa 1976
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.94 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Besa 1976
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 1. MFL
Tikves vs Besa 1976
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Tikves
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Milovanovikj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Besa 1976 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 34 / 100
Besa 1976 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Besa 1976

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa 1976 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Tikves has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tikves found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
21 Aug
FK Skopje
1 : 1
Tikves
Page 1 of 7

Besa 1976

(Away)
25 May
Besa 1976
0 : 2
Bashkimi
17 May
Pelister
1 : 4
Besa 1976
11 May
Besa 1976
3 : 0
Voska Sport
07 May
Tikves
1 : 0
Besa 1976
04 May
Besa 1976
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)