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Tiller vs Steinkjer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Granhus A.
87' Event
Sorkilfla M.

AI Match Summary

Steinkjer in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Steinkjer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tiller
15%
Draws
64%
Steinkjer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Steinkjer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Steinkjer lately — more wins on the board than Tiller.
  • Win probability leans Tiller's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Steinkjer
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 26 19
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Steinkjer
0:2
May 6, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Tiller
2:2
Jul 30, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Tiller
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Steinkjer
1:5
Aug 16, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Steinkjer
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Avg xG / game 2.84
Avg xA / game 1.84

Steinkjer Compare

Top Goalscorer Granhus A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorkilfla M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 34 / 100
Steinkjer 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Steinkjer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Steinkjer let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tiller found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (40 games).

Away concern: Steinkjer has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiller VS Steinkjer
1.38 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiller

(Home)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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Steinkjer

(Away)
22 Aug
Steinkjer
0 : 6
Ranheim
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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