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Timor-Leste U22 vs Indonesia U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Sananta R.
62' Event
Fathurrahman F.
74' Event
Fathurrahman F.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U22 in this Southeast Asian Games 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indonesia U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Timor-Leste U22
15%
Draws
57%
Indonesia U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U22 haven't matched Indonesia U22's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia U22 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Timor-Leste U22 Clean Sheet 23%
Indonesia U22 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U22 Indonesia U22
Matches Played 14 18
Wins 4 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.93 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U22 vs Indonesia U22
0:3
Jul 7, 2012 AFC Asian Cup U23
Indonesia U22 vs Timor-Leste U22
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Indonesia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fathurrahman F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sananta R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U22 10 / 100
Indonesia U22 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U22 Indonesia U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U22's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Timor-Leste U22 scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Solid form: Timor-Leste U22 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U22 VS Indonesia U22
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U22

(Home)
06 Dec
Singapore U22
1 : 3
Timor-Leste U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
07 May
Timor-Leste U22
0 : 3
Indonesia U22
04 May
Timor-Leste U22
3 : 0
Philippines U22
02 May
Myanmar U22
1 : 0
Timor-Leste U22
Page 1 of 3

Indonesia U22

(Away)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
13 May
Indonesia U22
3 : 2
Vietnam U22
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U22 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Myanmar U22 4 3 0 1 4:5 9
3 Cambodia U22 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
4 Timor-Leste U22 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
5 Philippines U22 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U22 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Vietnam U22 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Malaysia U22 4 2 0 2 13:5 6
4 Laos U22 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
5 Singapore U22 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)