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Timor-Leste U23 vs Malaysia U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2023
Timor-Leste U23 Logo

Timor-Leste U23

1 - 3
FT
Malaysia U23 Logo

Malaysia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Anuar Ikmalrizal M. A.
Assist: Izwan A.
13' Event
Izwan A.
Assist: Anuar Ikmalrizal M. A.
41' Event
Xavier O.
Assist: Requis Dias Quintao M. D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The AFF Championship U23 2023 game between Timor-Leste U23 and Malaysia U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaysia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Timor-Leste U23
15%
Draws
36%
Malaysia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Malaysia U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Malaysia U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 23%
Malaysia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Malaysia U23
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.45 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Malaysia U23
1:3
Dec 2, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Malaysia U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:0
May 30, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Malaysia U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Xavier O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Malaysia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anuar Ikmalrizal M. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Izwan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 37 / 100
Malaysia U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Malaysia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U23's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Malaysia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Malaysia U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Malaysia U23
2.2 Goals Scored 0.63
3.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
80% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 7

Malaysia U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Thailand U23
2 : 1
Malaysia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
28 Aug
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
13 Aug
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Singapore U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Philippines U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)