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Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Timor-Leste U23 in this Southeast Asian Games 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Timor-Leste U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Timor-Leste U23
15%
Draws
59%
Philippines U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Philippines U23 have won more games recently than Timor-Leste U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Philippines U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.2
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:0
Feb 14, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
2:2
Oct 31, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
1:0
Dec 4, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
1:6
Aug 24, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 31 / 100
Philippines U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Philippines U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Philippines U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Timor-Leste U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Philippines U23
2.29 Goals Scored 1
3.14 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
86% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Philippines U23

(Away)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
3 Singapore U23 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
4 Thailand U23 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
5 Cambodia U23 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 5 4 1 0 16:2 13
2 Myanmar U23 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
3 Timor-Leste U23 5 2 0 3 4:8 6
4 Laos U23 5 1 1 3 10:11 4
5 Brunei U23 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
6 Philippines U23 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2011 (Play Offs)