Tindastoll W vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar W Match Analysis, xG & Predictions

Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iceland

League Cup Women Sauðárkrókur

Tindastoll W

0 - 16

FT

IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tindastoll W play IBV Vestmannaeyjar W in the League Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tindastoll W averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. IBV Vestmannaeyjar W averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Tindastoll W won 2, IBV Vestmannaeyjar W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.24 for Tindastoll W and 1.63 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar W. This points to a IBV Vestmannaeyjar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Tindastoll W

15%

Draws

45%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Tindastoll W picked up more points recently compared to IBV Vestmannaeyjar W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.24 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Tindastoll W Clean Sheet 14%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar W Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tindastoll W	IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
Matches Played	47	38
Wins	23	21
Draws	5	4
Losses	19	13
Goals Scored	1.79	2.16
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.82
Expected Goals (xG)	0.60	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Icelandic Cup Women

Tindastoll W vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

0:5

Feb 8, 2026 League Cup Women

Tindastoll W vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

0:16

Jun 9, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women

Tindastoll W vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Sep 16, 2023 Besta deild Women

Tindastoll W vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

7:2

Jul 23, 2023 Besta deild Women

Tindastoll W vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tindastoll W 39 / 100

IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tindastoll W IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: IBV Vestmannaeyjar W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tindastoll W attacking → ← attacking IBV Vestmannaeyjar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tindastoll W scored in 77% of their last 47 games.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar W let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 7.80 goals.

Tindastoll W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 67

0.60 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Throttur W	5	4	0	1	21:11	12
2	Stjarnan W	5	3	1	1	25:8	10
3	Thor/KA W	5	3	0	2	18:10	9
4	Grindavik/Njardvik W	5	2	1	2	11:9	7
5	Hafnarfjordur W	5	2	0	3	18:10	6
6	FHL W	5	0	0	5	2:47	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Breidablik W	4	3	0	1	19:5	9
2	Vikingur Reykjavik W	3	2	0	1	11:7	6
3	Valur W	4	2	0	2	6:5	6
4	Fram W	4	1	1	2	3:13	4
5	IBV Vestmannaeyjar W	3	0	1	2	2:11	1
6	Tindastoll W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0