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Tiquipaya vs Deportivo Aleman

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tiquipaya in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tiquipaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tiquipaya
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Aleman
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiquipaya have won more games recently than Deportivo Aleman.
  • Win probability leans Tiquipaya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya Deportivo Aleman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Deportivo Aleman
2:1
Aug 18, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Tiquipaya
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 95 / 100
Deportivo Aleman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya Deportivo Aleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiquipaya scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Aleman conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Tiquipaya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS Deportivo Aleman
2.25 Goals Scored 0.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
08 Nov
Tiquipaya
1 : 0
1 de Mayo
01 Nov
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
Tiquipaya
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
4 : 1
CD Ingenio
11 Oct
CD Ingenio
3 : 3
Tiquipaya
28 Sept
Universitario de Pando
1 : 5
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Aleman

(Away)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CDN Santa Cruz641113:613
2Petrolero de Yacuiba63219:311
3Stormers SC62136:147
4Millonarios61056:113
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre650122:715
2Amanecer632115:911
3Ciclon61238:145
4El Tejar60249:242
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Beni641112:513
2Tiquipaya641110:313
3Deportivo Aleman62135:67
4Moto Club60157:201
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz640211:512
2Real Potosi632113:911
3Fatic62139:107
4Universitario de Tarija61149:184
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oruro Royal640215:1612
2Real Oruro632113:711
3Destroyers61329:86
4Rio San Juan60338:143
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia del Balompie632119:1111
23 de Febrero631214:1010
3Wilstermann Cooperativas61508:78
4Vaca Diez60243:162
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams