Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirsense vs CD Ribeira Brava

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Machado M.
80'
Manga F.
90' Event
Silva F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Tirsense and CD Ribeira Brava finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
0%
CD Ribeira Brava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tirsense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ribeira Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense CD Ribeira Brava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs CD Ribeira Brava
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Ribeira Brava vs Tirsense
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs CD Ribeira Brava
4:1
Oct 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
CD Ribeira Brava vs Tirsense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CD Ribeira Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 95 / 100
CD Ribeira Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense CD Ribeira Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ribeira Brava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: CD Ribeira Brava registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tirsense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS CD Ribeira Brava
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
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CD Ribeira Brava

(Away)
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3
Brito
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
29 Mar
Brito
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
25 Mar
AD Limianos
3 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)