Sport Picks
Tlaxcala vs Atletico La Paz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala 
Match Events
20'
20'
Robles C.
29'
29'
Garcia M.
45'
45'
Jaimes U.
Assist: Garcia M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico La Paz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Atletico La Paz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico La Paz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tlaxcala | Atletico La Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala
3:3
Nov 5, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Atletico La Paz
0:1
Oct 17, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Atletico La Paz
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tlaxcala Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaimes U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tlaxcala 34 / 100
Atletico La Paz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tlaxcala Atletico La Paz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Tlaxcala scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Atletico La Paz has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Tlaxcala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tlaxcala VS Atletico La Paz
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tlaxcala
(Home) 08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
25 Oct
Tlaxcala
2 : 0 Correcaminos
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
25 Oct
Tlaxcala
2 : 0 Correcaminos
10 Oct
Tlaxcala
4 : 2 Piratas
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 3
Atletico La Paz
(Away) 08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
25 Oct
Jaiba Brava
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
25 Oct
Jaiba Brava
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
09 Oct
Tapatio
2 : 4 Atletico La Paz
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Atletico La Paz 4
Tlaxcala 3
Piratas 2
Cancun 2
Leones Negros 2
Alacranes de Durango 2
Club Atletico Morelia 4
Venados FC 2
Semi-finals
Atletico La Paz 1
Piratas 1
Leones Negros -
Club Atletico Morelia -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
