Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tluchowo vs Luzino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Weremko S.
25' Event
Kaczmar M.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Kurbiel P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tluchowo
15%
Draws
49%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luzino lately — more wins on the board than Tluchowo.
  • Model gives Luzino a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tluchowo Luzino
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 23
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.24 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Luzino
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Tluchowo
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tluchowo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurbiel P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tluchowo 10 / 100
Luzino 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tluchowo Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tluchowo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Luzino let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Tluchowo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tluchowo VS Luzino
3 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tluchowo

(Home)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

Luzino

(Away)
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3
Wisla Plock
28 Aug
Luzino
2 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)