Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TNS vs Colwyn Bay

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Park Hall, Oswestry
TNS Logo

TNS

0 - 2
FT
Colwyn Bay Logo

Colwyn Bay

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sirrell L.
27'
Edwards J.
30'
Sub
Brobbel R. In: Owen B.
Out: Brobbel R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between TNS and Colwyn Bay finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TNS
15%
Draws
38%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Colwyn Bay haven't matched TNS's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on TNS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
TNS Clean Sheet 20%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Colwyn Bay
5:1
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Colwyn Bay
0:2
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs TNS
0:2
Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Colwyn Bay
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs TNS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirrell L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 42 / 100
Colwyn Bay 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TNS scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

TNS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colwyn Bay has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Colwyn Bay
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
Page 1 of 6

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)