Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobacco Road vs Salem City

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Tobacco Road and Salem City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salem City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tobacco Road
28%
Draws
50%
Salem City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Salem City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salem City come out ahead of Tobacco Road on wins alone.
  • Salem City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 10%
Salem City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobacco Road Salem City
Matches Played 42 37
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 USL League Two
Salem City vs Tobacco Road
1:3
May 26, 2026 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:3
Jul 8, 2025 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:3
May 28, 2025 USL League Two
Salem City vs Tobacco Road
3:3
Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobacco Road 22 / 100
Salem City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobacco Road Salem City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tobacco Road scored in 86% of their last 42 outings.

Salem City has conceded goals in 84% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Tobacco Road went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobacco Road VS Salem City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobacco Road

(Home)
11 Jul
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Port City
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
24 Jun
Hickory FC
4 : 0
Tobacco Road
Page 1 of 9

Salem City

(Away)
11 Jul
Salem City
1 : 0
Wake FC
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
Port City
1 : 2
Salem City
27 Jun
South Carolina United Bantams
3 : 3
Salem City
23 Jun
Salem City
1 : 2
Asheville City
Page 1 of 8