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Tocantinopolis U20 vs Paraiso EC U20

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Tocantinense U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense U20 2025 game between Tocantinopolis U20 and Paraiso EC U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tocantinopolis U20
15%
Draws
28%
Paraiso EC U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraiso EC U20 haven't matched Tocantinopolis U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tocantinopolis U20 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tocantinopolis U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis U20 Paraiso EC U20
Matches Played 24 9
Wins 14 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.67 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.08 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Tocantinopolis U20 vs Paraiso EC U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis U20 85 / 100
Paraiso EC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis U20 Paraiso EC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Paraiso EC U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Paraiso EC U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis U20 VS Paraiso EC U20
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis U20

(Home)
05 Nov
Paysandu PA U20
4 : 0
Tocantinopolis U20
29 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
0 : 2
Paysandu PA U20
22 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura U20
09 Jul
Batalhao U20
2 : 1
Tocantinopolis U20
06 Jul
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 1
Batalhao U20
Page 1 of 5

Paraiso EC U20

(Away)
17 May
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Paraiso EC U20
10 May
Paraiso EC U20
4 : 1
Arsenal EC U20
04 May
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 0
Paraiso EC U20
01 May
Paraiso EC U20
2 : 3
Bela Vista U20
13 May
Paraiso EC U20
0 : 4
Uniao EC U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)