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Tocantins vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gurupi in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2016 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Tocantins
20%
Draws
70%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Gurupi have won more games recently than Tocantins.
  • Model gives Gurupi a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Gurupi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gurupi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 11%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Gurupi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 13
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.6 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Gurupi
1:1
Jan 31, 2024 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantins
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantins
0:2
Mar 5, 2022 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Gurupi
1:3
Dec 18, 2021 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Gurupi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
Gurupi 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gurupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Tocantins's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tocantins went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Gurupi
0.29 Goals Scored 0.75
2.86 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gurupi 1
Interporto 0
Paraiso EC 1
Tocantins 1
Final
Gurupi 3
Tocantins 2