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Tocha vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha Logo

Tocha

1 - 1
FT
SC Espinho Logo

SC Espinho

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro game between Tocha and SC Espinho finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tocha
15%
Draws
64%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Espinho come out ahead of Tocha on wins alone.
  • SC Espinho are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tocha Clean Sheet 10%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocha SC Espinho
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs SC Espinho
1:1
Dec 16, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
SC Espinho vs Tocha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocha 10 / 100
SC Espinho 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocha SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tocha scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

SC Espinho let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Tocha stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocha VS SC Espinho
1.67 Goals Scored 1.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

(Home)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

SC Espinho

(Away)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
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