Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tochigi SC vs SC Sagamihara

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya
Tochigi SC Logo

Tochigi SC

0 - 2
FT
SC Sagamihara Logo

SC Sagamihara

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sasaki K.
Assist: Okita S.
45'
Abe K.
45' Event
Takeuchi T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tochigi SC and SC Sagamihara finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sagamihara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tochigi SC
20%
Draws
40%
SC Sagamihara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SC Sagamihara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tochigi SC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SC Sagamihara here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 16%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tochigi SC SC Sagamihara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi SC vs SC Sagamihara
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs SC Sagamihara
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
1:0
Aug 9, 2021 J2 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tochigi SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasaki K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takeuchi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi SC 36 / 100
SC Sagamihara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tochigi SC SC Sagamihara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tochigi SC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

SC Sagamihara let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: SC Sagamihara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi SC VS SC Sagamihara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tochigi SC

(Home)
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
05 Sept
Tochigi SC
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Aug
Gifu
4 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

SC Sagamihara

(Away)
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3
Iwata
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)