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Toftir vs Midvagur

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Faroe Islands Cup Svangaskard, Toftir
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Idrissou R. T.
46'
Sub
Knudsen T. In: Holm Torkil
Out: Knudsen T.
46'
Sub
Johansen H. In: Lau S.
Out: Johansen H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Toftir
20%
Draws
0%
Midvagur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toftir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toftir come out ahead of Midvagur on wins alone.
  • Toftir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Toftir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Toftir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Toftir Clean Sheet 19%
Midvagur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toftir Midvagur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 27
Goals Scored 1.27 0.53
Goals Conceded 2.07 5.9
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Faroe Islands Cup
Toftir vs Midvagur
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toftir Compare

Top Goalscorer Niclasen B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Idrissou R. T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Midvagur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toftir 85 / 100
Midvagur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toftir Midvagur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toftir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Midvagur conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Midvagur has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Toftir scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toftir VS Midvagur
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 7
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Toftir

(Home)
19 Sept
Toftir
2 : 3
EB Streymur
13 Sept
AB Argir
1 : 1
Toftir
30 Aug
B36 Torshavn
1 : 1
Toftir
23 Aug
Toftir
0 : 1
Skala Itrottarfelag
16 Aug
HB Torshavn
2 : 0
Toftir
Page 1 of 6

Midvagur

(Away)
15 Apr
Toftir
7 : 0
Midvagur
21 Apr
NSI Runavik
14 : 0
Midvagur
02 Apr
Hoyvik
8 : 0
Midvagur
10 Apr
Midvagur
0 : 3
Undri
27 Jun
Midvagur
0 : 3
Undri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Toftir 7
Midvagur 0
Klaksvik 6
IF Fuglafjordur 0
07 Vestur Sorvagur 1
Skala Itrottarfelag 0
EB Streymur 1
NSI Runavik 7
HB Torshavn 2
B71 Sandur 0
FC Suduroy 0
B36 Torshavn 3
Vikingur 5
AB Argir 1
Hoyvik 4
TB Tvoroyri 1
Quarter-finals
Toftir 0
Klaksvik 3
07 Vestur Sorvagur 0
NSI Runavik 4
HB Torshavn 3
B36 Torshavn 1
Vikingur 5
Hoyvik 0
Semi-finals
Klaksvik 7
NSI Runavik 6
HB Torshavn 2
Vikingur 5
Final
Klaksvik 0
Vikingur 2