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Toftir vs Vikingur

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Faroe Islands Cup 2025 Svangaskard
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toftir play Vikingur in the Faroe Islands Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Toftir averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Vikingur averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Toftir won 0, Vikingur won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Toftir and 1.88 for Vikingur. This points to a Vikingur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Toftir
35%
Draws
45%
Vikingur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vikingur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Toftir picked up more points recently compared to Vikingur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Toftir Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toftir Vikingur
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Toftir vs Vikingur
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:1
Jun 17, 2025 Faroe Islands Cup
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:0
May 21, 2025 Faroe Islands Cup
Toftir vs Vikingur
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toftir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vikingur Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallsberg P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atlason A. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toftir 20 / 100
Vikingur 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toftir Vikingur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vikingur or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toftir attacking → ← attacking Vikingur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toftir scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Vikingur let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Toftir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vikingur lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 51
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25