Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto

Tokushima

1 - 0

Kamatamare Sanuki

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Lucas Barcelos

Assist: Yanagisawa K.

41'

Sub

Miyazaki S. In: Hayashida K.

Out: Miyazaki S.

46'

Sub

Kokubun M. In: Makiyama K.

Out: Kokubun M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tokushima and Kamatamare Sanuki finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokushima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Tokushima

17%

Draws

13%

Kamatamare Sanuki

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Tokushima carry the better recent record into this one.
Tokushima are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Tokushima Clean Sheet 68%

Kamatamare Sanuki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tokushima	Kamatamare Sanuki
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	10
Draws	3	1
Losses	9	19
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	2.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tokushima

0:5

Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tokushima vs Kamatamare Sanuki

1:0

Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly

Tokushima vs Kamatamare Sanuki

0:0

Sep 1, 2018 J2 League

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tokushima

0:4

Apr 22, 2018 J2 League

Tokushima vs Kamatamare Sanuki

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Barcelos

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Kamatamare Sanuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokushima 77 / 100

Kamatamare Sanuki 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tokushima Kamatamare Sanuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tokushima scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Kamatamare Sanuki has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Tokushima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tokushima VS Kamatamare Sanuki

1.38 Goals Scored 1

2.25 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokushima

(Home)

07 Jun

Tokushima

2 : 0

Iwaki

30 May

Tokushima

3 : 1

Sagan Tosu

24 May

Tokushima

2 : 1

Imabari

17 May

Toyama

2 : 3

Tokushima

10 May

Tokushima

1 : 2

Nara Club

Page 1 of 6

Kamatamare Sanuki

(Away)

05 Jun

Kamatamare Sanuki

0 : 1

Nagano Parceiro

31 May

Kamatamare Sanuki

3 : 1

Giravanz Kitakyushu

24 May

Kamatamare Sanuki

2 : 3

FC Osaka

17 May

Imabari

1 : 2

Kamatamare Sanuki

10 May

Kamatamare Sanuki

0 : 3

Kochi United

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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