Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo W vs Novo Mundo W

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense Women game between Toledo W and Novo Mundo W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toledo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Toledo W
44%
Draws
20%
Novo Mundo W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toledo W come out ahead of Novo Mundo W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Toledo W Clean Sheet 10%
Novo Mundo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo W Novo Mundo W
Matches Played 17 3
Wins 4 1
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 2.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Paranaense Women
Toledo W vs Novo Mundo W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo W 34 / 100
Novo Mundo W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo W Novo Mundo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Mundo W let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Toledo W scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Toledo W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toledo W VS Novo Mundo W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
3.63 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo W

(Home)
14 Dec
Coritiba W
4 : 1
Toledo W
07 Dec
Toledo W
0 : 2
Coritiba W
23 Nov
Toledo W
2 : 1
Novo Mundo W
16 Nov
Patriotas W
0 : 0
Toledo W
09 Nov
Toledo W
0 : 5
Coritiba W
Page 1 of 4

Novo Mundo W

(Away)
23 Nov
Toledo W
2 : 1
Novo Mundo W
16 Nov
Coritiba W
8 : 0
Novo Mundo W
09 Nov
Novo Mundo W
3 : 2
Patriotas W

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coritiba W321014:17
2Toledo W31112:64
3Novo Mundo W31024:123
4Patriotas W30213:42
Promotion - Paranaense Women (Play Offs)