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Tollnes vs Herkules

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herkules in this Division 3 - Group 5 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herkules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tollnes
30%
Draws
37%
Herkules
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Herkules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Herkules have won more games recently than Tollnes.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Herkules taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 11%
Herkules Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tollnes Herkules
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.81 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Herkules
1:2
Apr 27, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Herkules vs Tollnes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tollnes 22 / 100
Herkules 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tollnes Herkules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herkules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollnes found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Herkules let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tollnes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tollnes VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tollnes

(Home)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
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Herkules

(Away)
18 Apr
Herkules
0 : 3
Sandefjord
22 Oct
Herkules
4 : 2
Kongsberg
15 Oct
Odds BK 3
2 : 2
Herkules
05 Oct
Herkules
1 : 0
Flint
01 Oct
Notodden 2
1 : 1
Herkules
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